No deaths for first time in 3 months as 20% have ‘severe’ virus risk
Written by Skywave Radio News on June 16, 2020
Lancashire’s death toll remains unchanged after the county recorded no fatalities for the first time under lockdown.
No deaths were recorded across the county’s five NHS hospital trusts yesterday afternoon (June 15), leaving the death toll at 949.
Some 230 patients have lost their lives under the care of Lancashire Teaching Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust while 216 have died at Blackpool Teaching Hospitals NHS Trust.
195 people have died at East Lancashire Hospitals NHS Trust and 165 people at the University Hospitals Of Morecambe Bay NHS Foundation Trust, which also has hospital sites outside of Lancashire.
143 people have lost their lives at Southport and Ormskirk Hospital NHS Trust.
Confirmed cases of coronavirus across Lancashire have increased by 10.
Eight new cases were recorded in the area managed by Lancashire County Council, bringing its total to 3,792.
Nationally, 38 more people have lost their lives, bringing the countrywide death toll to 41,736.
1,056 more people tested positive for the virus, bringing the national total of positive cases to 296,857.
It comes as one in five people across the world have an underlying health condition that could increase their risk of severe coronavirus if infected, a new study suggests.
Using data from 188 countries, a modelling study estimated 1.7 billion people, 22% of the world population, have at least one underlying health condition that puts them at increased risk.
Researchers say that although estimates give an indication of the number of people who should be prioritised for protective measures, not all of these individuals would go on to develop severe symptoms if infected.
According to the study, 4% of the world’s population would require hospitalisation if infected.
The authors say this suggests the increased risk of severe Covid-19 could be quite modest for many with underlying conditions.
Associate Professor Andrew Clark, from the London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine (LSHTM), said: “As countries move out of lockdown, governments are looking for ways to protect the most vulnerable from a virus that is still circulating.
“We hope our estimates will provide useful starting points for designing measures to protect those at increased risk of severe disease.
“This might involve advising people with underlying conditions to adopt social distancing measures appropriate to their level of risk, or prioritising them for vaccination in the future.”
The World Health Organisation (WHO) and public health agencies in the UK and USA identify cardiovascular disease, chronic kidney disease, diabetes and chronic respiratory disease as risk factors for severe coronavirus.
The new study, in The Lancet Global Health journal, provides global, regional and national estimates for the number of people with underlying health conditions.
The authors caution that they focused on underlying chronic conditions and did not include other possible risk factors that are not yet included in all guidelines, such as ethnicity and socioeconomic deprivation.
They say that the estimates are therefore unlikely to be exhaustive, but serve as a starting point for policy-makers.
The authors based their estimates on disease prevalence data from the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries and Risk Factors Study (GBD) 2017, UN population estimates for 2020 and the list of underlying health conditions relevant to Covid-19, as defined by current guidelines.
To help determine the degree of increased risk, the researchers also provided separate estimates of the proportion of all people – with and without underlying conditions – who would require hospitalisation if infected.