Lancs areas with highest covid infection rates after new research
Written by Skywave Radio News on July 22, 2020
Coronavirus infection rates are higher in Blackburn with Darwen, Blackpool and Hyndburn compared with other parts of Lancashire, according to new data.
The estimates are based on figures generated by the Covid Symptom Study app – which has been developed by health science company ZOE and King’s College London researchers.
The data relies on information uploaded to the app, which has been downloaded more than four million times, rather than official government testing figures – but it has been seen as a reliable source of data throughout the crisis.
It shows that the number of daily new cases of Covid-19 has stopped dropping in the UK.
The latest prevalence figures estimate, up to 5am on July 21, estimate that 28,257 people in the UK currently have symptomatic Covid-19. This is up from 26,020 on June 16.
Prevalence is the number of symptomatic cases in the population based on the daily new cases and symptoms being logged in the app, whereas incidence rates are simply the number of daily new cases based on the results from swab tests.
The latest analysis suggests from the Covid Symptom Study shows that Blackburn with Darwen has the highest estimated number of active cases per million people with 3,571.
That’s followed by Blackpool with 1,922, Hyndburn with 1,549 and then Burnley with 1,283..
Preston appears to be doing better than other Lancashire boroughs at present, with an estimated 506 cases per million, followed by Wyre with 522 cases per million.
Active cases per million people (estimated)
Blackpool – 1,922
Wyre – 522
Lancaster – 1,059
Ribble Valley – 701
Pendle – 968
Burnley – 1,283
Rossendale – 706
Hyndburn – 1,549
Blackburn with Darwen – 3,571
Chorley – 1,242
West Lancs – 1,151
South Ribble – 689
Preston – 506
Fylde – 895
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The app estimates that there are currently 2,103 daily new cases of COVID in the UK on average over the two weeks up to July 1, not including care homes.
Researchers say that while their data suggests numbers of cases are increasing, the current estimate indicates that any increase is not yet deemed to be significant.
Tim Spector, Professor of Genetic Epidemiology at King’s College London, says that after months of seeing the number of COVID cases falling in the UK, those numbers are starting to “bottom out”.
“We aren’t surprised to see this happening given the easing of lockdown and more and more people working and socialising,” he says.
“The team is keeping a very close eye on the data in order to allow us to spot any potential new hotspots and pick up regions with a significant increase.
“The virus is not going away any time so it is really important that people are adhering to the public health messages around social distancing, washing hands, and wearing masks.
“We were pleased to see the government taking the decision to rule that face masks should be worn in shops and other public places, as all measures are important in stopping an increase in the transmission of the virus.
“We believe the public should be aware of all the many symptoms of the virus, particularly in the early stages, and we have recently highlighted the need to look out for unusual skin rashes.
“Over time and with the help of our loyal loggers we will have a better understanding if the possible increase in cases is significant.”
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